Analysis for Koellerer-Machado (ATP US Open)

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Time 2nd Sep 2009
Event Koellerer-Machado (ATP US Open)
Tip 2
Office Pinnacle
Units 2
Odds 2.060
Result 3:1
Outcome -2.000
Analysis

Head-to-head record 1:0

Portuguese lucky looser Rui Machado will play Austrian clay court specialist Daniel Koellerer. Austrian player achieved his career-high ranking of no.61 in August, 2009 but this was mainly thanks to his achievements on clay courts. He has won just 1 match outside the clay on ATP circuit during the whole career and also his challenger record outside the clay is really poor – 7 wins and 14 losses. When you compare it to his clay court record of 144-97, you will see that he plays on clay court tournaments anytime he can. In 2009 Koellerer made the quarter finals of the Acapulco event defeating David Nalbandian in the first round. He won the Rome Challenger defeating Andreas Vinciguerra in the final and in August, he added another challenger win at Trani tournament. His opponent will be Portuguese lucky looser. As you know, Rui Machado is the player we often support. We have been watching him all over his career as he was considered to be the biggest talent of Portugese tennis. In 2006, Rui suffered the knee injury at Davis Cup Match in Portugal and during 2006 and 2007 almost did not compete at the highest level. In 2008, he finally showed some signs of improvement. Machado began his comeback with a spectacular run on the Futures circuit early in 2008. After failing to qualify into Portugal F3 in late January, he went on to win his next 26 matches in a row, losing just 2 sets along the way. He won Italy F1, qualified into and won Portugal F4, then won Portugal F5 an F6, both using Special Entry status. He finally lost a match two weeks later in the semifinal of Spain F12 to Pere Riba, but got revenge the following week at Spain F13, beating Riba in the final, for his 5th Futures win in his last 6 tries. The string of victories took his ranking from No.729 in February to No.371 in early April. Just 10 weeks after having to play qualifiers to get into Futures tournaments in Portugal, he was given a Wild Card entry into Portugal's ATP stop in Estoril, and made great use of it, defeating Ivo Karlovic in the first round in his first-ever ATP-level match. This match catapulted him back among the top players and he continued in above average performances since than. And what about this year? He continues to play the solid tennis especially on clay and improved his ranking to current no. 109. He is also a clay court specialist but he doesn’t avoid hard courts and noted 2 wins in US Open quallies. He should be well prepared for this match and we think he is a better hard courter than his opponent. Anything around 2 is worth taking for us.

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